June 2006 Archive

New Penalty Box Rules from the CSRC

June 9th, 2006

The CSRC has issued new rules for it to follow when barring certain persons from the securities industry.

The rules allow people to be put in the penalty box for periods of 3-5 years, 5-10 years or receive lifelong banishment from the industry.

“Working in the securities industry” includes not only working for a broker, underwriter, fund or company providing services to the market (like a clearing and registration firm, for instance) but also working for a listed company as a member of the board of directors, board of supervisors or high-level executive.

The controlling shareholders and “actual control persons” of issuers, securities companies (meaning both brokers and investment banks in Chinese parlance) and service providers can be banned from the industry, too. And, following a ubiquitous drafting convention of PRC regulations, the CSRC adds to the list “any other lawbreakers we decide to add later.”

Following another convention of PRC drafting, the CSRC can impose the varying levels of punishment when it deems the circumstances of an infraction are “serious,” though the definition of “serious” is left to the sound discretion of the CSRC (the regs do spell out circumstances when lifelong bans or, conversely, leniency are appropriate).

The regs replace “provisional” regs on the same subject from 1997.

The reg is on the CSRC website here, but I’ll also put the full Chinese text after the jump.

Read more »

More Outbound PRC M&A Activity?

June 9th, 2006

China’s State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) has made it easier for PRC firms to get foreign exchange in order to expand abroad, according to this China Daily story.

This does not mean PRC firms can trade RMB for dollars to invest in US stock markets as financial investors. In other words, this is not a QDII program. What it means is that the next time a CNOOC wants to buy a Unocal (or a Legend wants part of IBM’s business) SAFE will (more easily) let the PRC firm access some of China’s vast foreign exchange reserves to fund the acquisition. It also means a PRC firm could trade RMB for hard currency to pay for an overseas office.

Given the global ambitions of some PRC firms and their interest in buying sources of raw materials, brand equity and other overseas assets, it is likely we’ll see more and more outbound PRC M&A activity.

However, the floodgates are not entirely open. SAFE rules on foreign exchange are only one layer of the rules governing outbound PRC investment. The PRC government will still play a role in shaping outbound capital flows in other ways.

Another issue will be the receptivity of jurisdictions where target companies are located. As the failure of the Dubai Ports and Unocal deals show (and the US government’s decision to be careful about Lenovo computers), perceptions of national interest can affect things on both sides of an M&A equation.

The new SAFE notice is here and a press release about it is here (all in Chinese). The notice is titled 国家外汇管理局关于调整部分境外投资外汇管理政策的通知 and it comes into effect July 1.

SEC Ends China Life IPO Inquiry

June 9th, 2006

The US SEC has ended its inquiry concerning China Life’s IPO, a NYSE listing that raised US$ 3.5 billion in December 2003 (the world’s largest IPO that year).

Shortly after the IPO, the PRC’s National Audit Office determined a pre-IPO incarnation of China Life underpaid PRC taxes by a substantial amount. The national audit office investigation was apparently underway at the time of the IPO but was not disclosed by the listing vehicle.

As this article in the English-language China Daily notes, the SEC’s action does not end civil suits pending against China Life (however, in China that would effectively bar shareholder litigation against a listed firm for disclosure fraud because China requires an enabling administrative penalty before private litigants can proceed).

Whatever the outcome for China Life, it is noteworthy that since its listing (and the subsequent investigation and litigation over nondisclosure of its predecessor’s tax problems), all jumbo Chinese IPOs have avoided the US.

China Construction Bank (US$ 8 billion) and Bank of China (US$ 10 billion) have listed only in Hong Kong.

Deterring overseas issuers from accessing global capital markets through the US was not a goal of Sarbanes Oxley supporters (a group including, after Enron and Worldcom, virtually everyone in the US Congress), but it seems one consequence of SOX is that the largest PRC issuers are indeed avoiding the US.

US bankers, lawyers, accountants, regulators and stock exchange officials owners will no doubt note this when lobbying for SOX reforms.

I previously noted the China Life matter here and here.

People’s Daily Says Stick to Path of Reform

June 8th, 2006

Monday of this week the People’s Daily carried a prominent editorial affirming (and exhorting everyone else to affirm) China’s commitment to the path of reform. This has been interpreted as a way to end debates that have raged about the pace, scope and manner of China’s reformist agenda. In other words, the Party’s main mouthpiece has said, shut up already with your neo-leftist and other contrarian strains of discourse; China will stick to a pro-growth, pro-market, “socialism with Chinese characteristics” path.

For some time Western media have been reporting on vigorous internal Party debates (such debates should be a good thing, right?). This editorial has been covered as a public admission and simultaneously as a suppression of those debates. See for example coverage from the Financial Times here and the Times of London here.

I was struck by this sentence from the Times coverage:

Nostalgia is widespread for the days of Chairman Mao Zedong when everyone was equally poor.

Right. Back when nobody had anything, back when we sometimes tortured people for keeping a few chickens at home in an effort to raise themselves above communal misery. Those were the days!

The Hu-Wen administration has shifted rhetoric and perhaps some policies to a more “people-centered” (yi ren wei ben) approach that emphasizes the overall quality rather than mere quantity of growth. The editorial doesn’t change that. It simply indicates China is sticking to 1) socialism, 2) reform and 3) balanced development. That agenda, like my own country’s current policies of spending feverishly while cutting taxes, is fraught with internal tensions. But as the Deng Xiaoping billboard in Shenzhen says, the basic line shouldn’t change in China for a long, long time.

The editorial is available in Chinese here. It’s headline reads 毫不动摇地坚持改革方向 (Haobu dongyao jianchi de gaige fangxiang), which, with some license, can be translated as, “Don’t even think about not continuing to reform.”

The People’s Daily website provides an English article about the editorial here (though not a full translation; maybe it’s like the Koran and cannot be translated).

Shenzhen Development Bank, Newbridge & Equity Classification Reform in China

June 7th, 2006

The current issues of China’s Stock Market Trend Analysis Weekly (股市动态分析周刊 Gushi dongtai fenxi zhoukan) contains a livid criticism of Newbridge Capital, the controlling shareholder of Shenzhen Development Bank. The author is outraged that Shenzhen Development Bank proposes making all its shares tradeable (that it become a G-share
listed company) without paying “compensation” to current holders of tradeable shares.

A heavy nationalistic strain is involved in the outrage. The idea that American investors think they should be exempt from Chinese “law and policy” when operating in China infuriates the writer, apparently touching sensitive nerves about extra-territoriality from the colonial era.

Sure, in China investors play by Chinese rules. But I think in principle Newbridge is right to refuse to give some of its shares in the bank to other shareholders of the bank without compensation.

Xinhua reports in English on the SDB proposal here. According to the article SDB will pay holders of listed shares some cash if the bank’s share price actually drops significantly following the reform, or they pay-out will happen if the stock dramatically appreciates, but they will get nothing if the price stays within its current trading range. Shareholders will vote on the proposal by July 17 (one imagines the proposal will not pass). Here’s some additional background:

In China the government, in one guise or another, typically owns two-thirds of a listed firm; public shareholders hold the the other third.

Importantly, until an equity re-classification program began last year, all the governments shares (the controlling 2/3) were classified as illiquid (fei liutong gu). They could only be transferred in one-off, negotiated transactions (subject to requisite approvals), not sold on the exchanges like shares issued in IPOs and secondary offerings.

Last year, after a few disastrous prior attempts, China began reforming its share classification system. Although each company is free to come up with its own scheme, the normal deal is that holders of liquid (listed) shares get three “gift” shares for every ten shares they own—in exchange for agreeing that the government’s illiquid shares can become tradeable.

Companies representing about 80% of the market share of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges have gotten through or at least begun this process. The rest are supposed to get through the process by the end of this year (once Sinopec joins the list, that alone should push the number above 90%).

Shenzhen Development Bank, as one of China’s domestically-listed firms, also needs to have its shareholding system re(de-)classified, to be converted to a G-share company (ticker symbols for companies that have been through the reform process are designated as G-share companies for gai, a Chinese word for change).

But Shenzhen Development Bank is a special case among China’s 1,300+ listed companies.

It is one of the few PRC listed companies to have substantial foreign investment.

It is the only PRC bank with a controlling foreign shareholder.

It is also unusual among PRC listcos in having a large public float—about 70% of its shares are already listed. This means a couple of things. First, it means the typical 3 for 10 deal would be a massive private to private wealth transfer. It would take shares from Newbridge and give them to current holders of SDB’s listed shares. Whatever one thinks about the PRC share reform scheme, this is simply a fact in this case. Second, SDB’s widely dispersed capital structure means that even under the normal PRC share reform logic SDB’s shareholders need less “compensation” because there is much less of an overhang of non-tradeable shares to flood the market and drive down the price of already-listed shares.

Newbridge acquired a controlling stake in Shenzhen Development Bank in 2004, before the shareholding reform program was announced.

Newbridge in its due diligence should have identified the possibility of shareholding reform as a potential issue (and I imagine they did). But there was no way they could have at the time of the acquisition known for sure if or when or in what manner the shareholding reform process would proceed. Further, it is not clear they would have had reason to expect that an eventual reform would amount to a government “taking” without compensation. (Actually, it’s more of a government-ordered giving, since the government is not directly taking for it’s own use—it’s more like the New London case in the U.S. than a typical government taking, minus of course the compensation).

Many people in China are glad that the shareholding reform process is moving forward. Removing the “share overhang” should be good for China’s stock markets in the long run.

But, in general, I have never understood what legally justifies the idea that the PRC government as a controlling shareholder has a duty to compensate holders of liquid shares—people who bought shares that could go up or down and who were to my knowledge given no assurances that the unlisted shares would stay that way.

More pointedly, in its (still formally) socialist system the PRC government holds state assets on behalf of the whole population, so in giving extra shares to current holders of tradeable shares, the government is transferring property from all the Chinese people to some portion of the Chinese people—people (or institutional investors) who bought shares (I note again without any assurances that they wouldn’t lose money or that the shares they weren’t buying wouldn’t become buyable). It may be good for the markets in the long run, but in principle it looks to me like asset stripping.

As for Newbridge in particular, why should they give their shares (their property) to the bank’s other shareholders without compensation?

They should be subject to Chinese law, but the Chinese Constitution ostensibly protects private property.

If the PRC government wants to buy off holders of tradeable shares, it shouldn’t do it with Newbridge’s money.

. . . If Newbridge finds itself squared off against its shareholders over this issue (making the “takings” arguments I outline above to a PRC judge), it won’t be the first hurdle they’ve faced since buying 18% of the bank. The deal fell apart rather publicly before it went through, and the first man they chose as CEO after the take-over lasted only 18 months.

Still, SDB is trading up now (quite a bit since Newbridge bought in), and if they do manage to make their shares tradeable they could reap some handsome profits, perhaps even without selling their controlling stake to another investor.

DC Event on China M&A Next Week

June 6th, 2006

An OECD economist and lawyer in private practice will speak on M&A in China in D.C. next week.

More information and an online registration form are here.

The OECD issued a report back in April on cross-border M&A in China (described here, available for online purchase for USD 26).